How are prediction markets settled?
Who decides the outcome, when you get paid, and what happens when a result is disputed.
Prediction markets from zero: what they are, how prices work, fees, taxes and the rules.
Prediction markets let you buy Yes or No on real-world questions. Each contract pays $1 if you're right, so the price (1¢ to 99¢) is the crowd's probability. Start with what prediction markets are, then how to read the prices, what fees you pay and whether they're legal where you live. Free tools: odds converter and profit calculator.
Who decides the outcome, when you get paid, and what happens when a result is disputed.
The order book in plain English, with a worked example in cents.
18 on most exchanges, 21 on some. The ages, the ID checks and the reasons behind them.
Where you can trade, which states are fighting sports contracts, and where each case stands.
Federally regulated, but fought over by states. The current legal picture in plain English, checked and dated.
Some people do. Most beginners don't. What an edge really looks like, and how to learn without losing much.
Contracts that pay $1, prices set by other traders, and how you can sell before the result. The mechanics, step by step.
A price of 65¢ means about a 65% chance. Here's how to read prices, work out payouts and convert to sportsbook odds.
Trading fees, the spread, and deposit and withdrawal costs. What you really pay, with worked examples.
From "event contract" to "settlement", every term you'll see in the apps, in one sentence each.
Markets and polls measure different things. When each is more useful, and how to read them together.
Profits are generally taxable, but how isn't fully settled. What to expect and what records to keep.